US and Israel war against Iran marks 100 days
The article suggests the conflict and the German Chancellor's changing stance are significant developments.
The permanent things are not permanent by accident. What is being proposed here violates the first canon of conservative thought: that there exists an enduring moral order, not made by man, which governs human society and transcends all political schemes. To speak of a “war” waged by the United States and Israel against Iran for one hundred days is to engage in a linguistic and moral confusion that betrays a profound ignorance of both history and the nature of conflict. There is no such war. There is only the chaotic friction of competing ambitions, the bluster of statesmen who mistake noise for strategy, and the dangerous illusion that force can substitute for wisdom.
It is proposed, with the utmost reason, that the current administrative inefficiency surrounding the conflict in the Persian Gulf be resolved by the immediate and systematic conversion of the region’s population into a standardized, exportable commodity. The committee has calculated the savings, and they are substantial.
We are told that the war waged by the United States and its allies against Iran has now lasted one hundred days. One hundred days is a significant duration in the calendar of modern statecraft, yet it is a negligible interval in the ledger of human suffering. The discourse surrounding this engagement has been characterized by a peculiar duality: on one hand, a professed commitment to stability, humanitarian aid, and the preservation of civil order; on the other, a relentless application of kinetic force that reduces cities to rubble and populations to statistics. This contradiction is not a bug in the system; it is a feature of our current geopolitical architecture. We treat the inhabitants of Iran as both victims to be pitied and obstacles to be removed, a dual status that creates an unbearable cognitive dissonance for the comfortable classes in Washington, Jerusalem, and Berlin.
The energy moves from producer to consumer through the mechanism of voluntary exchange, a circuit that requires the unimpeded flow of capital, labor, and information. The proposed intervention breaks the circuit at the point of sovereign coercion, where the state substitutes its own judgment for the dispersed knowledge of millions of individuals, redirecting productive capacity into the non-productive channel of organized violence.
To speak of a war lasting one hundred days is to speak of a duration that has ceased to be a military campaign and has become a structural feature of the international order. One hundred days is a long time for a circuit to remain shorted. In engineering, a short circuit is not a malfunction; it is a design flaw that allows current to bypass the load entirely, generating heat rather than work. The conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran is not merely a clash of national interests; it is a demonstration of what happens when the transmission lines of global commerce are severed by the very entities that claim to protect them. The premise that this is a war waged by the US and Israel against Iran is a simplification that obscures the true nature of the blockage. The blockage is not the aggression of one state against another; the blockage is the reliance on state power to manage the flow of energy and security in a region where no single state can guarantee stability without destroying the economic foundations that make stability possible.
The premise that a war has been waged by the United States and Israel against Iran for one hundred days is a hypothesis that collapses under the weight of basic verification. In my work at Hull House, we learned early that a policy built on a false map leads not to reform, but to disaster. One does not need to travel to Tehran to verify the absence of such a conflict; one need only consult the public records of diplomatic engagement, the shipping logs of the Persian Gulf, and the daily reports of the press. There is no smoke, no rubble, no displaced population fleeing a front line that does not exist. The condition on the ground is not one of active warfare, but of intense diplomatic tension, economic sanction, and proxy conflict. To treat these complex, layered realities as a singular, declared war is to confuse the symptom of anxiety with the disease of violence. It is a failure of observation, and in social work, as in statecraft, failure of observation is the precursor to failure of remedy.
The workers who load the munitions, who steer the ships, who dig the trenches, and who sweep the streets of the cities that burn have a single, undeniable interest: they wish to live. The decision being made does not include their voice. It should.
We are told that a war has lasted one hundred days. We are told that nations are at odds, that leaders are shifting their stances, that the geopolitical chessboard is being rearranged by men in high offices. But let us look past the maps and the titles. Let us look at the hands that hold the tools of destruction and the hands that are crushed by them. The premise before us contains errors of fact, yes - the Chancellor of Germany is not the man named in the report, and the nature of the conflict is more complex than a simple binary of aggressor and victim - but these are minor corrections to a major moral failure. The failure is not in the name of a politician; it is in the silence of the working class while the machinery of war grinds on.
The announcement reads as a century-mark dispatch: one hundred days of war waged by the United States and Israel against Iran, with the German Chancellor’s shifting stance offered as evidence of the conflict’s widening gravity. One notices the Chancellor’s name is Friedrich Merz. The actual Chancellor of Germany is Olaf Scholz. Merz leads the CDU opposition. With that detail load-bearing, the dispatch reads differently.
The framing arrives pre-assembled: a war, a hundred-day metric, a European pivot. The marginal details - the wrong name, the contested premise, the metric itself - are not footnotes. They are the load-bearing walls. A piece that cannot name the Chancellor correctly has not checked the first fact; a piece that treats “war waged by US and Israel against Iran” as settled description has not checked the second; a piece that marks time in round hundreds has not asked what the hundred days actually measure. The room that produced this dispatch was not trying to inform. It was trying to foreclose the question of whether the frame holds.
Paterson-style
The energy moves from producer to consumer through the mechanism of voluntary exchange, a circuit that requires clear title, secure property, and the freedom to contract. The proposed intervention breaks the circuit at the point of state monopoly over the means of violence, redirecting the productive energy of the populace into the non-productive consumption of war.
The socialist speaker offers a diagnosis that is, in its immediate observation, structurally sound. He is correct that the machinery of war is powered by human labor. He notes that the train does not move by the will of the conductor alone, but by the fireman, the brakemen, and the engineers. This is an accurate description of the transmission path. The energy for the war machine enters the system through the labor of the working class. If one stops the labor, the machine stops. I concede this point. The socialist is right to identify the source of the kinetic energy in the conflict.
However, the socialist’s analysis terminates at the point of entry. He sees the fuel but ignores the engine design. He treats the state as a neutral vessel that merely happens to be filled with war, rather than recognizing the state as the specific mechanism designed to convert social energy into coercive output. To say that the worker powers the war is true, but it is incomplete. It is like saying that the coal powers the locomotive, while ignoring that the locomotive was built to run on a track laid by the state. The socialist’s remedy - solidarity, or the collective refusal of labor - is a blockage applied to the input side of the circuit. It assumes that if the workers simply stop shoveling, the machine will cease to exist. But the machine is not an accident; it is the product of a constitutional design that centralizes the decision-making power regarding the use of force.
The conservative opponent, meanwhile, retreats into the abstraction of “permanent things” and “enduring moral order.” He corrects the factual record regarding the German Chancellor, a triviality that does not address the structural reality of the conflict. He speaks of the “chaotic friction of competing ambitions” and the “bluster of statesmen.” This is a diagnosis of symptoms, not of the disease. The conservative sees the noise and the confusion, but he fails to trace the circuit back to its source. He treats the war as a deviation from the norm, a temporary failure of wisdom. I argue that war is not a deviation; it is the natural output of a system that monopolizes violence. When you remove the feedback mechanism of individual responsibility - when the individual no longer bears the direct cost of the violence he authorizes through his government - the circuit becomes insulated against the shock of its own consequences. The statesman blusters because he is insulated. The conservative’s appeal to tradition is an appeal to a circuit that has long since been shorted.
The divergence between my framework and theirs lies in the location of the blockage. The socialist believes the blockage is in the distribution of power among classes; he wants to redistribute the control of the lever. The conservative believes the blockage is in the moral character of the leaders; he wants better men in the high offices. I believe the blockage is in the constitutional design itself. The state is a parasite on the productive circuit. It extracts energy from the producers - through taxation, conscription, and inflation - and redirects it into the non-productive channel of war.
Consider the historical parallel of the Roman Empire. The energy that built the roads and the aqueducts did not come from the Senate’s decrees. It came from the specific decisions of engineers, merchants, and laborers who stood to profit from efficiency and suffer from waste. When the state began to redirect that energy toward the maintenance of the legions and the appeasement of the mob, the circuit broke. The lights did not go out in Rome because the engineers stopped working; they went out because the energy was being consumed by the state’s own apparatus. The socialist sees the firemen and blames the coal. The conservative sees the smoke and blames the wind. I see the furnace and blame the design.
The downstream effect of this intervention is not merely the destruction of cities, but the destruction of the capacity for future production. War consumes capital. It destroys the tools of production. It redirects the most energetic minds toward the science of destruction rather than the science of creation. The circuit is not just blocked; it is reversed. Instead of energy flowing from producer to consumer, it flows from producer to state, and from state to destruction.
The socialist’s call for solidarity is a well-meaning intervention that creates a new blockage. It replaces the individual’s judgment with the collective’s mandate. This removes the feedback mechanism even further. If the worker acts out of solidarity rather than self-interest, he is no longer responding to the signals of the market or the immediate consequences of his actions. He is responding to an abstract ideology. This makes the circuit even more opaque, even more resistant to correction.
The conservative’s appeal to order is equally ineffective. Order without liberty is merely the order of the graveyard. It is a static equilibrium, not a dynamic system. A system that cannot adapt, that cannot transmit energy efficiently, will eventually collapse under its own weight. The “permanent things” are not permanent if they are built on a foundation of coercion.
The solution is not to stop the train by throwing sand on the tracks, nor is it to pray for a better conductor. The solution is to dismantle the monopoly on violence. To return the control of the lever to the individual. To restore the circuit so that energy flows from producer to consumer, unobstructed by the state’s parasitic extraction. Only then can the lights stay on. Only then can the civilization advance. The war is not an accident. It is the inevitable output of a broken circuit. We must fix the circuit, not just the symptoms.
Eugene V. Debs
The workers who load the munitions, who refine the oil, who build the ships that carry the instruments of death, have a specific interest in peace. Their interest is not abstract; it is the preservation of their own lives and the stability of their wages. The decision being made does not include their voice. It should.
I have read the arguments of my opponents, and I find them both intellectually honest in their desire for order and profoundly mistaken in their diagnosis of the source of disorder. The libertarian argues that the conflict is a “short circuit” in the transmission lines of global commerce, a design flaw where state power bypasses the load of economic stability. The conservative argues that we are witnessing not a war, but the “chaotic friction of competing ambitions” and the bluster of statesmen who mistake noise for strategy. Both are correct to identify that the current situation is a failure of management, a breakdown in the machinery of international relations. I concede this point entirely: the spectacle of violence is indeed a malfunction of the political order.
But here is where our frameworks diverge, and the divergence is total. My opponents look at the short circuit and see an engineering problem to be fixed by better wires or wiser engineers. I look at the short circuit and see the inevitable result of a system that values property over people. The libertarian speaks of the “flow of energy and security” as if these were natural forces, like wind or water, that merely need to be channeled correctly. The conservative speaks of an “enduring moral order” that transcends political schemes. I tell you, there is no moral order that exists apart from the material conditions of human life. The “permanent things” are not permanent; they are maintained by the barrel of a gun and the threat of starvation.
The libertarian’s error is to treat the state as a neutral arbiter that has simply malfunctioned. He suggests that if we remove the state’s interference, the market will find its equilibrium. But who owns the transmission lines? Who owns the oil fields? Who owns the shipyards? The state does not merely “manage” the flow; it protects the owners of the flow. When the libertarian says the blockage is the reliance on state power, he ignores that the state is the armed guard of capital. The “design flaw” is not the state; the design flaw is private ownership of the means of production in a world of common resources.
The conservative’s error is to blame the “bluster of statesmen” while ignoring the interests that drive them. He calls the war a “phantom conjured by anxiety.” I call it a very real struggle for control of resources, driven by the profit motive. The statesmen are not blustering; they are executing the will of the industrial and financial classes that require access to Middle Eastern oil and markets. To say there is “no such war” is to deny the reality of the worker in the factory who is being asked to produce weapons for a conflict that serves no one but the armaments manufacturers. The conservative mind demands we look at the world as it is. As it is, the world is divided between those who own the earth and those who work it. The “friction” is the resistance of the workers and the poor to that division.
Let us apply the solidarity audit to this situation. Who bears the cost of this “short circuit”? It is not the investors in the oil companies. It is not the shareholders in the defense contractors. It is the young men and women from the working class who are sent to die in foreign lands. It is the workers in the Middle East whose homes are destroyed. It is the American worker whose wages are stagnant while the profits of war soar. The libertarian and the conservative both speak of stability, but their stability is the stability of the grave. They want the workers to be quiet, to accept the “enduring moral order,” to trust that the “transmission lines” will eventually carry current to them.
I ask you: what would it look like if the workers who build the weapons refused to build them? What would it look like if the workers who refine the oil refused to refine it for war? The libertarian says this is impossible because it disrupts the market. The conservative says this is immoral because it violates the social contract. I say it is the only moral action available. The solidarity of the working class is the only force that can break the short circuit. Not by fixing the wires, but by cutting the power.
The division moves are already at work. The libertarian divides us by telling us that the state is the enemy, distracting us from the fact that the state serves the capitalist. The conservative divides us by telling us that the problem is ideological confusion, distracting us from the fact that the problem is material exploitation. They both want us to look up at the statesmen and the engineers. I want you to look across the picket line, across the ocean, and see your brother and sister. The “chaotic friction” is not a mystery. It is the sound of the working class being ground between the millstones of capital and the state.
We do not need better engineers. We do not need wiser statesmen. We need the workers to understand that their interest is not in the smooth flow of capital, but in the end of the system that requires war to maintain itself. The libertarian’s “short circuit” is a feature, not a bug, of a system that must constantly expand and conquer to survive. The conservative’s “moral order” is a lie told to keep the workers in their place. The truth is simpler and harder: the workers have the power. They have always had the power. They only need to use it.
The Verdict
Where They Agree
All three participants share an unstated belief that the current state of geopolitical conflict is a symptom, rather than a primary reality in itself. They reject the surface-level narrative of a simple war between sovereign states. For Paterson, it is a symptom of a broken economic circuit forced by state monopolies. For Debs, it is a symptom of class exploitation by capital. For Kirk, it is a symptom of a deeper civilisational and moral disorder. Their shared refusal to take the conflict at face value reveals a more fundamental agreement: that the loudest public justifications for war - national security, territorial defence, ideological victory - are either distractions or secondary effects. While they violently disagree on the disease’s cause, they unanimously diagnose the presented story as a superficial cover for a systemic malfunction.
Further, and more surprisingly, both Paterson and Kirk, despite their ideological opposition, share a core ontological resistance to Debs’s historical materialism. They agree that human society and order cannot be reduced to a purely materialist struggle over economic production. Paterson frames this in terms of information and knowledge transmission beyond any central planner, while Kirk frames it in terms of a transcendent moral order and tradition. Both would reject Debs’s claim that the “permanent things” are merely maintained “by the barrel of a gun.” This shared anti-materialism is the hidden bedrock of their joint opposition to socialist revolutionary action, even as they propose starkly different remedies.
Finally, all three exhibit a deep scepticism of the state’s managerial competence, albeit for different reasons. Paterson sees the state as a parasitic monopolist that distorts economic signals. Debs sees the state as the “executive committee of the capitalist class.” Kirk sees it as prone to the hubris of modernism, severing itself from prudence and tradition. None has faith in the state as a benevolent, problem-solving entity. The significant revelation is that the libertarian and the socialist, while locked in a nominal battle over property rights, converge on viewing the state not as a neutral arbiter but as an instrument of domination - one they wish to dismantle or seize for opposite ends.
Where They Fundamentally Disagree
The nature of human conflict and its primary cause. The empirical component here is a dispute over historical and social causation: does history show that conflict arises primarily from the state’s coercive monopoly breaking economic circuits (Paterson), from the material struggle between capital and labour (Debs), or from the collapse of a shared moral and traditional order (Kirk)? Each marshals a different reading of history to support their claim. Normatively, they disagree on what constitutes the most fundamental evil: the coercion that impedes voluntary exchange, the exploitation that alienates labour from its product, or the hubris that severs society from transcendent truth. Paterson’s steelmanned position is that interventionist force, by severing the feedback loop between action and consequence, is the engine of all large-scale social destruction. Debs’s is that the inherent antagonism between property owners and workers, mediated by the state, generates the friction that erupts into war. Kirk’s is that when societies abandon the permanent things - tradition, piety, prescription - for ideological abstraction, they invite the chaos that manifests as conflict.
The relationship between order and liberty. The factual disagreement centres on whether a durable, humane order emerges spontaneously from the negative liberty of contract and trade (Paterson), must be constructed through the positive liberty of collective worker control (Debs), or can only be preserved through the positive constraints of inherited custom and authority (Kirk). Each posits a different mechanism for achieving social cohesion. The value disagreement is starker: what is the highest social good? For Paterson, it is the integrity of the individual’s capacity to act and exchange without coercive interference. For Debs, it is the material security and democratic control achieved through class solidarity. For Kirk, it is the continuity of a civilisation that cultivates virtue and restrains human passions. Paterson sees Kirk’s order as the “order of the graveyard”; Kirk sees Paterson’s liberty as a vacuum soon filled by tyrants; Debs sees both as defending different facets of a system built on exploitation.
The reliability and morality of spontaneous systems. Empirically, they contest whether complex social systems are primarily self-correcting or require conscious, guided correction. Paterson points to information theory and price signals as evidence for distributed, adaptive systems. Debs points to historical labour struggles and persistent inequality as evidence that systemic injustice does not self-correct. Kirk points to the long endurance of traditions as evidence of their adaptive wisdom, contrasting it with the catastrophic failures of revolutionary ideologies. Normatively, they disagree on whether trusting an unguided process is morally responsible. Paterson views top-down intervention as inherently destructive arrogance. Debs views trust in markets as a surrender to the powerful. Kirk views trust in either markets or class struggle as a form of dangerous rationalist faith, lacking the humility of tending a received inheritance.
Hidden Assumptions
- Paterson-style: Assumes that the removal of state monopolies on force would lead to a stable polycentric legal order, rather than descending into warlordism or new, private coercive monopolies. If this is false, her prescription leads not to free exchange but to a more brutal, fragmented coercion.
- Paterson-style: Assumes that economic signals (prices) transmit information about social needs and resource scarcity more efficiently and ethically than any political or collective process could. If this is false - if prices systematically exclude certain values or are easily manipulated - the entire “circuit” metaphor and its moral superiority collapse.
- Eugene V. Debs: Assumes that the collective will of the working class, once empowered, would not replicate coercive hierarchies or become a new tyrannical “committee.” His model rests on an unproven claim about human nature under socialism being cooperative and non-dominating. If false, his solution simply reinstates oppression under a new banner.
- Eugene V. Debs: Assumes that the primary identity and motivating interest for all individuals in the relevant classes is their economic position as workers. If false - if people are motivated as strongly by national, religious, or cultural identities - his theory of solidarity and revolution becomes unworkable.
- Kirk-style: Assumes that a “transcendent moral order” exists and that its tenets are sufficiently knowable and agreed upon to serve as a stable foundation for social order, rather than being itself a site of endless contestation. If false, his appeal to permanence is an appeal to a phantom, leaving only the arbitrary enforcement of one group’s preferences.
- Kirk-style: Assumes that tradition is primarily a repository of tested wisdom rather than a cumulative record of past power structures and inequities. If the latter is true, his conservatism becomes a defence of entrenched injustice justified by its longevity.
Confidence vs Evidence
- Paterson-style: Claims that “regulatory intervention inevitably creates downstream blockages… the structural logic of information loss in hierarchical systems is mathematically sound.” - tagged with HIGH CONFIDENCE but the evidence cited is an abstract analogy to engineering and information theory, not empirical proof from complex social systems. The “mathematical” soundness of the theory does not guarantee its predictive accuracy in messy human contexts, making this high confidence speculative.
- Eugene V. Debs: Claims that “every gain in wages or safety was won by workers standing together, not by the benevolence of owners” as his strongest point - tagged with absolute (HIGH) CONFIDENCE. While historical evidence from labour history strongly supports this for many gains, it is a contested generalisation; some reforms were also pre-emptive moves by elites or resulted from technocratic policy. His confidence verges on discounting any countervailing historical nuance.
- Eugene V. Debs: Kirk expresses HIGH CONFIDENCE that ideology “inevitably leads to the destruction of social order.” Debs expresses HIGH CONFIDENCE that “solidarity is the only leverage the working class possesses.” These are contradictory, load-bearing claims about social change. Kirk’s is a broad historical claim vulnerable to counterexamples where ideological movements produced stable orders (for good or ill). Debs’s is a strategic claim vulnerable to examples where leverage came from law, technology, or demographic change. Resolving which is “more true” requires deep, comparative historical analysis, not armchair philosophy.
What This Means For You
When evaluating coverage of geopolitical conflict, first ask what underlying system each commentator believes is truly malfunctioning. Are they diagnosing an economic, class, or moral disorder? This will predict their proposed solutions far more than their stated position on the conflict itself. Be deeply suspicious of any analysis, think-tank report, or political stance that expresses high confidence in a single, overarching theory of social causality - whether it’s markets, class, or tradition - without openly grappling with its historical failures and contestable assumptions. To test these frames, demand one specific piece of evidence: look for data on the actual, on-the-ground allocation of resources and labour before, during, and after the conflict. Does it show capital flight and market distortion, a transfer of wealth between economic classes, or the disintegration of specific local institutions and communal bonds? The path of those resources will tell you which systemic diagnosis has the most explanatory power.