A "coalition of the willing" is convening the world's first Transitioning Away from Fossil Fuels conference in Colombia to bypass petrostate blockages at Cop summits and chart a path for phasing out fossil fuels.
Before we dismantle the scaffolding of the global consensus, let us ask what structural integrity that scaffolding provides to the very edifice we seek to preserve. The proponents of this new Colombian assembly, this “coalition of the willing,” move with the brisk, certain step of men who believe that by simply walking around an obstacle, they have removed it. They seek to bypass the established, if frustrating, machinery of the COP summits, treating the multilateral forum not as a sacred, if flawed, vessel of international negotiation, but as a mere procedural nuisance to be circumvented by a more agile, more “efficient” club of like-minded actors.
It is easy to find merit in the grievance. The stagnation of the COP process, the perceived obstructionism of petrostates, and the sense that the slow wheels of global diplomacy are grinding against the urgent requirements of a changing climate - these are not mere phantoms of the imagination. To witness a deliberative body paralyzed by the veto of a few is to feel the sting of injustice. When the machinery of a great institution ceases to move, the impulse to build a new, more functional engine is not merely understandable; it is often the very impulse that has historically driven necessary progress.
Yet, we must look beneath the stated purpose of this bypass. The formal aim is the acceleration of a fossil fuel phase-out; the latent function, however, is the creation of a parallel sovereignty. By establishing a secondary forum that operates outside the cumbersome, inclusive, and often agonizingly slow consensus-building of the UN framework, these nations are not merely seeking efficiency; they are seeking to redefine the very nature of international legitimacy. They are attempting to replace a system of universal, albeit stalled, negotiation with a system of preferential, high-velocity diplomacy.
The danger here lies not in the desire for a cleaner atmosphere, but in the erosion of the principle of inclusion that, however imperfectly, holds the global community to a single, shared table. The COP summits, for all their much-criticized stalemates, serve a vital, silent purpose: they force the petrostates, the developing nations, and the industrial giants to inhabit the same room, to endure the same friction, and to acknowledge the existence of each other’s claims. This friction is the very thing that prevents the world from fracturing into a series of competing, irreconcilable blocs. When we bypass the forum, we do not bypass the conflict; we merely strip the conflict of its institutional constraints.
We have seen this pattern before in the history of governance. When a faction finds the established legislature too cumbersome for its particular vision, it seeks to create a “council” or a “committee” of the willing. At first, this appears to be a prudent way to achieve results. But as these parallel structures gain momentum, they begin to drain the legitimacy from the original institution. They create a two-tier world: a tier of the “efficient” and a tier of the “obstructive.” In doing so, they release a logic of fragmentation that, once set in motion, cannot be easily recalled. The “coalition” may succeed in charting a path for a phase-out, but it does so by undermining the only platform where the petrostates can be held to account within a shared framework of law and custom.
The reformers believe they are merely building a faster road to a necessary destination. They fail to see that by abandoning the old road, they are also abandoning the bridges and the toll-gates that kept the journey from descending into a chaotic scramble. If we are to transition away from the fuels of the past, let us do so by refining the institutions we have inherited, by pressuring the blockers within the existing architecture, and by strengthening the very consensus we claim to serve. To achieve a green future by destroying the very concept of a universal diplomatic forum is to trade a slow, difficult progress for a swift, but ultimately hollow, victory. We may arrive at our destination sooner, but we shall find ourselves there in a world where the very idea of a shared agreement has been rendered obsolete.